Showing posts with label U.S. Money Supply. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.S. Money Supply. Show all posts

Friday, September 15, 2006

U.S. Money Supply is Now Contracting

In the midst of this economic ‘recovery’ – a very important piece of data is rarely, if ever, discussed in the mainstream media. We hear lots of talk about housing, stock markets, bond markets, interest rates, derivatives, unemployment, inflation, commodities, household & government debt, etc. – but the one piece of economic data that drives all others – is almost never discussed by mainstream media or our financial and political leaders.

What is the most important piece of economic data? Let’s let some past financial and political leaders tell us.

“Whoever controls the volume of money in our country is absolute master of all industry and commerce….and when you realize that the entire system is very easily controlled, one way or another, by a few powerful men at the top, you will not have to be told how periods of inflation and depression originate.” -James A. Garfield


"Whoever controls the volume of money in any country is absolute master of all industry and commerce."(Paul Warburg, drafter of the Federal Reserve Act)


"Permit me to issue and control the money of a nation and I care not who makes its laws."(Mayer Amschel Rothschild)

The volume of money. Under our current monetary system - if our money supply expands – we see economic growth and prosperity (albeit with ever growing – unsustainable - debt). If it contracts – we see recessions and depressions. It seems simple – and it really is - if you spend the time to understand how Central Banks control the volume of money throughout the world. They are the modern-day masters of all commerce and industry.

Of course, you never hear how the system works (how money is added to/removed from the system) or how the volume of money impacts our economy from mainstream media or the world’s leaders. Discuss all the things you want concerning the economy and the current economic situation – just don’t discuss the truth behind it all.

Since 2008, we’ve seen our total money supply growth (M3) slow considerably (chart below). The trend is definitely a cause for concern. After December 2009 updates – it should be a major concern for anyone paying attention. Now - our money supply growth is not simply slowing – our money supply is contracting. Think about this for a minute – if the amount of money in the system is decreasing – can you have economic growth or ‘recovery’? No. You can have all of the discussions you want about anything related to the economy – but if the amount of money in the system we use to buy, sell, invest, etc. is contracting – economic growth (and therefore recovery) is impossible.


(Source: shadowstats.com)

If the money supply continues to contract – anything related to economic activity will also contract - corporate revenues/profits, personal wages & income, bond prices, stock prices, state and federal tax receipts, employment, etc. In our current monetary system, the only way to increase the money supply is to create more debt – the problem is that the world is currently saturated by debt to the point that it cannot create the new debt required to keep all of the balls in the air. It’s only a matter of time before things start to come crashing down. Government stimulus and Federal Reserve ‘programs’ have only delayed the inevitable.

We are now watching the final throes of the world’s debt based monetary system as it stumbles toward its inevitable end. It was reported this week that Germany’s economy (GDP) contracted 5% in 2009 – they haven’t seen a contraction like this since the end of WWII. We’re seeing articles now questioning whether the UK can turn around their economy with such massive debt loads. Greece is on the brink of default on their government debt. Spain’s economy is struggling with an official unemployment rate approaching 15%. Iceland experienced an economic meltdown last year and the value of their currency has plunged. The list goes on and on.

You may point to our recent quarter of positive GDP growth (revised downward twice) in the 2% range and say that we’re back on the positive growth path. Government GDP numbers are rife with all types of fuzzy numbers. You’d be amazed at how it is calculated and what is included. If you want to see a good, quantifiable number of how our economy is doing – look at state and federal tax receipts (below). You may ask how it’s possible to have positive GDP growth when State and Federal Tax Receipts are both declining at disturbing rates. Good question. The answer is that someone isn’t telling the truth. Since tax receipts are calculated using hard data – while GDP numbers are anything but quantifiable – we don’t have to guess which numbers to trust.


(Source: Chrismartenson.com)



(Source: FGMR.com)


You may ask – what about all of the money the Federal Reserve has added to the system? Another good question. The answer shouldn’t surprise you. The majority of the money has ended up with banks. While the U.S. money supply is the total amount of money (dollars) present throughout the world – the monetary base is the amount of money that banks have on reserve at the Federal Reserve. We see that the money supply is contracting – but what is happening to the monetary base?



(Source: Federal Reserve)

Since the beginning of this crisis, the monetary base has increased from $800 billion dollars to over $2 trillion. Why is this happening? It’s simple – due to the state of the economy – banks are not lending at pre-crisis levels. They continue to hoard cash at the Fed. Why? They don’t want to make loans in this environment when the odds of default/foreclosure are high. The Fed is also now paying interest on bank reserves – which also increases the incentive for banks to keep money at the Fed and not make loans to consumers, corporations, developers, etc.

Remember – debt creation must continue to grow to create new money to keep the system from collapsing. Debt is no longer growing – it’s also contracting – which coincides with our money supply contraction.



(Source: Chrismartenson.com)


(Source: market-ticker.org)

What will be the sign to usher in the next phase of this crisis? Most likely – it will be a stock market decline of 300-500 points in one day. Could be a little less or could be more - but keep your eye on any significant market decline over a very short period of time. This will be the sign that the system is teetering – and about to go over the edge. There will be no rebound this time.

We’ve seen lots of positive ‘recovery’ talk over the past few months, but it only took one comment from the CEO of JPMorgan today to cause a 100 point stock market decline.

Chief Executive James Dimon warned the banking giant is cautious about the future, noting "consumer-credit costs remain high, and weak employment and home prices persist."-Wall St. Journal

In the same article we get the following comments:

"To have two marquee-name companies like J.P. Morgan and Intel put out their earnings and have the market react like this is a very bad sign," suggesting that a broader correction may be in store, said strategist Bill King, of M. Ramsey King Securities. –Wall St. Journal


Earnings and economic data combined to raise new doubts about the health of the consumer, and the strength of the U.S. economy. Globally, worries about the impact of Greece's debt woes on the European economy drove investors toward so-called safe-haven assets. –Wall St. Journal

Pay close attention to what is happening in the markets in the coming weeks/months and be prepared to take action to protect your money/assets.

January 15, 2010

John

The Media Propaganda Machine Continues.......

What happens when debt is destroyed in a debt based monetary system? Money is destroyed – money that is required to keep the system running. We continue to see U.S. household debt decline (it would appear this is now happening mainly through defaults) – while our government and the Federal Reserve try to keep the ship afloat by running up massive Federal budget deficits. We’re on borrowed time.

I’m adding an excerpt from this article in the WSJ today – because mainstream media articles are now placing a positive ‘spin’ on economic news - that is bordering on lunacy.

What is the bold headline on the front page of the Wall Street Journal today?

“Americans Pare Down Debt”

This headline makes it sound like good news is coming our way.

What is the tag line underneath the headline?

“Massive Defaults Produce Rare Annual Drop in Obligations, Clear Ground for Growth“

What is the reason for the reduction in U.S. household debt? Massive Defaults.

This article makes it sound like this is great news – we’re all defaulting in record numbers – which will lead to a strong economic recovery. This – in and of itself – sounds ridiculous – and it is. It disregards what bankruptcy/defaulting does to our credit history and how this affects bank lending. We don’t default and then begin spending and borrowing immediately – the opposite is true.

As always – there’s even more to the story that we’re not being told.

What is the truth?

As we’ve learned – thanks to the Federal Reserve and its debt based monetary system where money is created by debt (and debt only) – U.S. debt reduction is now causing our money supply to contract.



(Source: Shadowstats.com)

Can we have economic recovery if our money supply is contracting? No – economic recovery in this system is impossible if our money supply continues to contract.

In recent weeks I’ve seen more and more mainstream media articles that are ‘spinning’ economic data in ways that are misleading and deceptive. Everything seems to have a positive spin – regardless of what the real data is telling us.

The article below actually appeared yesterday on the WSJ online website – before it was the headline in today’s print version. By yesterday evening – there were over 70 user comments attached to the story. I would say that over 90% of the comments were negative toward the article – comments from informed people who noted that the article was misleading and presented a positive spin on some very bad news.

Apparently, some people at the WSJ took notice and made some changes before today’s print edition. One of the writers of the story was removed – and pieces of the story were re-written. It was also interesting to note that all 70+ comments were removed from the story sometime yesterday evening.

I’ve added a few headlines below from around the nation that tell us the true story of our economy. Record numbers of Americans are now on food stamps, state and local governments are facing historic budget shortfalls as tax revenues plunge, sovereign debt around the world is reaching unmanageable levels, we continue to lose jobs each month, foreclosures and bank failures continue at historically high levels, wages and income continue to decline, etc.

I also noticed earlier this week that the Fed recently released data showing that U.S. net wealth actually increased during the 4th quarter. How – might you ask – is this possible in our current economic environment? I little bit of research shows that this gain in ‘wealth’ was entirely caused by recent stock market gains – a stock market that I firmly believe is being manipulated.

When the stock market goes – so goes a very large portion of our wealth.

The media deception continues.

jg – March 12, 2010
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MARCH 12, 2010

Americans Pare Down Debt

Massive Defaults Produce Rare Annual Drop in Obligations, Clear Ground for Growth

By MARK WHITEHOUSE

Wall St. Journal

U.S. consumers are shedding debt at the fastest rate in more than six decades, largely through a wave of defaults, in a trend that underscores the depth of their financial troubles but could also help clear the way for a stronger economic recovery.

Total U.S. household debt, including mortgages and credit-card balances, fell 1.7% in 2009 to $13.5 trillion, the Federal Reserve reported Thursday—the first annual drop since records began in 1945. The debt amounts to $43,874 per U.S. resident.

The drop reflects the extent to which job losses and a moribund housing market are forcing people to default on mortgages and other obligations, a painful process that has slammed millions of families and hit banks and investors with hundreds of billions of dollars in losses.

At the same time, the defaults are leaving many people with more cash to spend and save, jump-starting the financial rehabilitation, or "deleveraging," that economists see as a crucial prerequisite to robust growth.

"The speed of the adjustment is lightning fast because it's happening through debt destruction," said Joseph Carson, director of global economic research at AllianceBernstein in New York. "It puts us closer to the point where the consumer can start making a stronger contribution to recovery."
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Food-stamp recipients up to record 39 million

Bloomberg News

Updated: March 05, 2010, 6:37 am / 0 comments

Almost 39 million Americans received food stamps in December, the most ever, as the jobless rate hovered near a 26- year high, the government said.

Recipients of the subsidies for food purchases climbed 23 percent from a year earlier and rose 2.1 percent from November, the U. S. Department of Agriculture said Thursday in a statement on its Web site. The number receiving the benefit has set records for 13 straight months.
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Analysis: Greece's crisis could presage America's

WASHINGTON – Greece is a financial basket case, begging for international help. Is America heading down that same road?

Many of the same risky financial practices that now imperil the Greeks were at the center of the all-too-recent U.S. meltdown.

As with Greece, America's national debt has been growing by leaps and bounds over the past decade, to the point where it threatens to swamp overall economic output. And in the U.S., as in Greece, a large portion of that debt is owed to foreign investors.

Not good, if these debt holders begin to wonder if they'll be paid back. A foreign flight from U.S. Treasury securities could sow financial chaos in the United States, as happened when many investors lost faith in Greek bonds.
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2,600 people show up for 100 railroad jobs

A massive crowd of job seekers showed up at the RJ Corman Railroad yards in Lexington, KY hoping to land a high-paying job.

They started waiting in line as early as Friday afternoon. In all, some 2,600 job seekers applied for work with the RJ Corman Railroad Company.

In all, about 100 jobs will be filled for about 12 to 18 months. Those hired will work on repairing and renovating five different railroad lines in the states of Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia. The jobs pay between $25 and $35 per hour with benefits.
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Consumers not making dent in debt

Bulk of $93.2 billion drop in card balances due to write-offs

By Candice Choi

updated 7:10 p.m. ET, Wed., March. 10, 2010

NEW YORK - With unemployment high and personal wealth diminished, how was it that strapped consumers were paying down their credit card debt last year? It turns out they probably weren't.

The bulk of 2009's drop in credit card debt instead came because banks were forced to write off loans consumers failed to pay, according to an analysis of Federal Reserve data.

Loans are typically charged off by banks once they're 180 days past due, under the assumption that the debt won't be repaid.
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The Myth of the Recovery

The White House claims the economy is on the mend. That’s a fantasy.

Anthony Randazzo from the April 2010 issue

The economic headlines sure look better than they did a year ago. Gross domestic product (GDP) is finally growing again, rising by 2.2 percent in the third quarter of 2009, with an early estimate of 5.7 percent for the fourth. The fourth quarter number will probably be revised down, but it will still likely mark the fastest growth since 2003. The unemployment rate, after a nosedive, leveled off in the last few months of the year, and the stock market has regained 40 percent of its value after a March 2009 low. Four of the five largest bailed-out banks have either repaid the government or received permission from the Treasury Department to do so in the near future. Inflation slowed to a standstill in November after 10 months of increasing consumer prices. Construction of new homes and apartments increased in 2009 from 2008 levels, the first annual growth in housing starts since 2005.

“The Recovery Act has created jobs and spurred growth,” President Barack Obama said in a December speech trumpeting the success of his economic policies. “We are in a very different place today than we were a year ago.” Lawrence Summers, director of the White House National Economic Council, concurs. “Everybody agrees that the recession is over,” Summers said that same month on ABC’s This Week.

But a closer look reveals those appealing numbers sit on a dangerously shaky foundation. Economic growth in 2009 was largely dependent on a historic level of government spending that even the president acknowledges is unsustainable in the long term. The root problem of mortgage delinquencies has yet to be worked out. Bank lending is sparse amid ongoing uncertainties surrounding regulatory reform. As a result, manufacturers and small businesses continue to struggle with limited credit. All that translates into historic job losses and a bleak outlook for meaningful growth in 2010 and 2011.

Worst of all, many of the core problems in the housing, banking, manufacturing, and service sectors are being perpetuated and exacerbated by the very federal programs the president credits with jump-starting economic growth. Instead of confronting the roots of the crisis head on, as Obama has repeatedly boasted of doing, his administration and the Democratic Congress have kicked the can down the road, postponing the day of reckoning for real estate, the auto industry, and the toxic mortgage-backed securities that were at the heart of the economic meltdown. These unsolved problems will keep looming over the economy until they’re finally addressed.
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Judge denies payment to Prichard pensioners; 'People are not going to like it,' lawyer for city says

By David Ferrara

March 09, 2010, 12:26PM

MOBILE, Ala. -- A bankruptcy court judge this morning denied a motion to force the city of Prichard to pay pensioners, saying they were not a part of the administrative claims -- or day-to-day obligations -- of the city.

A group of pensioners, who have a civil lawsuit pending against Prichard, asked U.S. Bankruptcy Court Judge William Shulman to include the pensioners, who have not been paid in 6 months, in the city's regular expenses.

"Without some relief, each month goes by they are unable to pay for their basic life essentials," Alexandra Garrett, a lawyer for the pensioners argued.

But the city pays bills and current employees in order to continue to function, the judge said.

"I know you want to shoehorn this in and try to make it fit, but it doesn't seem to fit," Shulman said.

In a Chapter 9 bankruptcy, the court is limited in its authority to order municipalities to pay creditors.
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Bowles Says Deficits Will Make U.S. ‘Second-Rate’

By David Mildenberg

March 9 (Bloomberg) -- Erskine Bowles, co-chairman of the commission on U.S. deficit reduction, said entitlement programs such as Social Security will turn the nation into a “second- rate power” if their costs aren’t reduced.

“We’re going to mess with Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security because if you take those off the table, you can’t get there,” Bowles said today in a speech to North Carolina bankers in Greensboro. “If we don’t make those choices, America is going to be a second-rate power and I don’t mean in 50 years. I mean in my lifetime.”
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Treasuries, sovereign debt "dangerous": Fuss

(Reuters) - Investors should avoid government securities, including U.S. Treasuries and the debt of other nations, because of the risks associated with excessive borrowing, a leading U.S. fund manager said on Tuesday.

"The most dangerous market there is national government debt because the borrowing doesn't seem to be ending soon -- and it's not just a U.S. phenomenon," Dan Fuss, vice chairman of investment manager Loomis Sayles, told Reuters.

"I call it the new 'large-cap market' for its burgeoning size," he said.
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Astorino spending cuts: Lay off up to 1,600, close Croton pool, cut NYC buses, delay Playland opening

WHITE PLAINS, NY — Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino said today that a "staggering" fiscal crisis will force the county to shutter the Croton Point Park pool, delay the daily opening of the Rye Playland amusement park and end bus service to New York City.

The measures are part of a plan for drastic cuts in government spending, which could also mean "likely" layoffs for as many as 1,600 county workers if spending can't be cut in other ways.

Astorino said the cuts are necessary due to a projected $166 million budget gap next year, far above the $60 million deficit he was told he inherited when he took office in January.

He called the actual deficit "staggering," and called it the result of "unrestrained spending for many years" in the county.

And he said he was committed to presenting a 2011 budget in November that would not call for an increase in property taxes.

But he said that would take shared sacrifice and hard choices. Astorino said the first phase of the cuts is to eliminate $16 million in spending this year. Among the short-term measures are:

• Cut $5.8 million from the Department of Social Services by better management of foster care and other measures.

• Cut $1.37 million from the Department of Transportation by eliminating bus service to New York City and other steps.

• Cut $1.6 million from the parks department by leaving 20 positions vacant, closing the pool at Croton Point Park and having a delayed opening at the Rye Playland amusement park.

• Cut $905,000 from public safety by not filling vacancies and redeploying officers to reduce overtime costs in the department.
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Michigan Lost 80,000 Manufacturing Jobs Over Past Year

EVANSTON, Ill., March 9 /PRNewswire/ -- Industrial employment in Michigan fell 10.9% over the past twelve months according to the 2010 Michigan Manufacturers Directory, an industrial directory published annually by Manufacturers' News, Inc. (MNI) Evanston, IL. MNI reports Michigan lost 80,101 industrial jobs and 913 manufacturers between January 2009 and January 2010, the sharpest decline MNI has ever reported for the state. Coupled with the 42,874 jobs lost between 2008 and 2009, industrial employment in Michigan has declined by 122,975 jobs or nearly 16% since the start of the recession, according to MNI.

Manufacturers' News reports Michigan is now home to 14,619 manufacturers employing 657,787 workers.

"It's a perfect storm of negative conditions," says Tom Dubin, President of Manufacturers' News. "The country has suffered deep losses in manufacturing employment due to automation and technology, outsourcing and the recession."

According to MNI, the transportation sector saw the worst decline in employment, down 18.4%, or nearly 30,000 jobs following layoffs and closures at the Big Three automakers, as well as their suppliers such as Visteon Corp. and American Axle. Transportation equipment manufacturing remains the state's largest industrial sector by employment with 130,003 jobs. Industrial machinery and equipment ranks second with 122,590 jobs, down 9.1%. Third-ranked fabricated metals accounts for 83,206 jobs, down 14.3% over the past twelve months.

MNI reports other sectors losing jobs over the past twelve months included lumber/wood down 12.5%, due partially to the closure of cabinet manufacturer Merillat Industries. Employment in textiles/apparel declined 11.6%; primary metals fell 9.5%; stone/clay/glass was down 9.5%; rubber/plastics down 8.5%; paper products down 8.5%; printing/publishing down 8.3%; furniture/fixtures down 7.8%; electronics down 7.5% and food products down 2.9%.
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Sen. Joan Bray on budget: “We’re in a very deep hole”

By Virginia Young

Post-Dispatch Jefferson City Bureau

JEFFERSON CITY, MO — Sen. Joan Bray and two education representatives held a conference call with reporters today to underscore the state’s dire need for more federal stimulus money.

“The economy in Missouri is not improving at this point, and we’re looking not just months out but years out for it to come around,” said Bray, D-University City. “We are in a very deep hole at this point.”

The targeted audience for the message, she said, was Congress, which is balking at a six-month extension of the budget stabilization funds that have kept states’ budgets afloat.

Without the money, “you’re going to see cutbacks, you’re going to see retrenchment, you’re going to see services disappear,” said Bray, a member of the Senate Appropriations Committee. “We don’t think we can do anything other than keep saying it.”
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NY state debt in red zone, should cut $20 billion: study

Joan Gralla

NEW YORK

Tue Mar 9, 2010 8:44pm EST

(Reuters) - The $120 billion that New York state owes in debt, health and pension benefits for public workers puts it in the danger zone, and getting down to the safety zone requires a $20 billion cut, a study said Tuesday.

By this measure, California has more outstanding long-term obligations -- over $159 billion -- but can better afford them than New York, according to the analysis by the Citizens Budget Commission.

New York's ability to pay its bills was estimated at a ratio of 1.099, meaning that for every dollar of resources it has, there are $1.099 worth of obligations.

Although California has some of the nation's worst budget problems, its ratio works out to a more affordable 0.599, according to the study by the nonpartisan research group.

Only three other states have higher debt burdens than New York: New Jersey, whose ratio is the highest at 1.473; Hawaii, at 1.472; and West Virginia, at 1.127.

The Nature of Money and Our Monetary System (U.S. Coinage Act of 1792)

Great article on money, our Constitution and the U.S. Coinage Act of 1792.

Do you think our money is being debased today?

The truth is that our current monetary system requires that our money be debased.

This is the very nature of the Federal Reserve’s fractional reserve system. Our fiat money supply – that is backed by nothing - must continue to grow – forever. One of the many downsides of this system is that the value of our money continues to be debased – forever. Constant money supply growth = constant inflation. Constant inflation = constant money devaluation.

By ‘forever’ – I mean until the system collapses. We live in the real world – not fantasyland.

Ask yourself how a system that violates both the Constitution (only Congress has the authority to manage our money supply) and the Coinage Act of 1792 was allowed to gain absolute power over our economy. I assure you – it wasn’t done to benefit the American people. It was done so that a small group of powerful men could control us – just as they control all major economies around the world.

Here’s an excerpt from the article below:

“In 1792 the U. S. Coinage Act was passed by Congress. It invoked the death penalty for anyone debasing money and provided for a U.S. Mint where silver dollars were coined along with gold coins beginning in 1794. The text of Coinage Act of 1792 states: “The Dollar or Unit shall be of the value of a Spanish milled dollar as the same is now current,” that is, running in the market, “to wit, three hundred and seventy-one and one-quarter grains of silver.”

To repeat, A“dollar” is a silver coin containing three hundred and seventy-one and one-quarter grains of silver — and it cannot be changed by constitutional amendment, definitionally, any more than the term “year” can.

Even at the current suppressed value of silver, ($17.06/troy ounce), a "dollar is worth $14.00. The fact that a currently circulated Federal Reserve Note of a "One Dollar" denomination is not worth $14.00 is evidence that a radical debasing of money has occurred sometime in the past and begs the questions: Who was responsible for the debasement, why did "we the people" allow the debasement to occur, and why weren't those responsible prosecuted?”

jg – March 18, 2010
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The Nature of Money and our Monetary System

by: Johnny Silver Bear

(Editors Note: One of the perks of editing "the Bear" allows me to post my own rants. I originally published The Nature of Money in August, 2004.)

As the editor of the Silver Bear Cafe, I try to focus on the ramifications of world events. I try to understand how what's going on now will affect your pocketbook next week, next month, next year. It is my sole intent to help you consider the possibilities which will, in turn, help you prepare for your financial future.

One of the most important aspects of your financial survival concerns your understanding of the nature of money. If you believe that precious metals do not constitute "money", you may have been misled. If you have been misled, who misled you? Why? And "What's wrong with this picture"?

What is money? The whole point of money is suppose to be the provision of a convenient and liquid medium that can be exchanged for less liquid value. It is a go between. One strives to accumulate money so it can be exchanged for something else.

In our illustrious history, we humans have tried everything from salt to sardines as a medium of exchange, but nothing has seemed to work as well as gold and silver. A person bringing a relatively illiquid item to market could swap it for gold or silver, secure in the knowledge that the metal would retain its value for as long as he chose to hold it and would be accepted as payment for anything he wanted when he chose to spend it.

The condition that your gold and silver will retain its value for as long as you chose to hold it is the most valuable characteristic of the "barbarous relics", and provides the fodder for me to champion the cause of precious metals ownership, and for my ensuing attack on the debasement of the American dollar.

Man has an innate desire to obtain and own gold and silver. That we seek to possess precious metals seems as naturally entrenched in our collective psychic as any other instinct. The possession of wealth, in the form of gold and silver, has always represented power and control. There is nothing wrong or unnatural to desire power and control. The power to control one's destiny through the accumulation of wealth is not only natural, it is healthy. This natural desire is the basis of our capitalistic system. The gold standard, as prescribed by our Constitution, is "the Law" that insures that the "power and control" that is provided by wealth, cannot be abused. Those who would seek to abuse the power of wealth would consequently have to break "the Law." "The Law" has been broken.

In 1792 the U. S. Coinage Act was passed by Congress. It invoked the death penalty for anyone debasing money and provided for a U.S. Mint where silver dollars were coined along with gold coins beginning in 1794. The text of Coinage Act of 1792 states: “The Dollar or Unit shall be of the value of a Spanish milled dollar as the same is now current,” that is, running in the market, “to wit, three hundred and seventy-one and one-quarter grains of silver.”

To repeat, A“dollar” is a silver coin containing three hundred and seventy-one and one-quarter grains of silver — and it cannot be changed by constitutional amendment, definitionally, any more than the term “year” can.

Even at the current suppressed value of silver, ($17.06/troy ounce), a "dollar is worth $14.00. The fact that a currently circulated Federal Reserve Note of a "One Dollar" denomination is not worth $14.00 is evidence that a radical debasing of money has occurred sometime in the past and begs the questions: Who was responsible for the debasement, why did "we the people" allow the debasement to occur, and why weren't those responsible prosecuted?

Fiat money, (money not backed by anything), was something so abhorrent to our Founding Fathers that they didn't even discuss it as an option. The Constitutional gold standard provided that the Country's citizens could not be robbed by means of inflation. An interesting original draft by the Founders would have allowed for "bills of credit", or paper money but that was struck out. It seems that during the Revolutionary War, when paper money had been issued, a promise to back the notes for gold or silver was a "no confidence" disaster, causing counterfeiting by the British and other forms of fraud.

The end result were notes of no value, plummeting to less than a penny per dollar. Sound familiar? This is why the Founding Fathers decided to mint only gold and silver coins as "money." They provided for a U.S. Mint where silver dollars were coined along with gold coins beginning in 1794. The mint was intended to provide a service for "We the People", a facility where we could bring our precious metals, aquired by panning or mining or barter, have the metals assayed, minted and returned to us.

" The people of the states empower the Congress to coin money and regulate the value thereof and also of foreign coins." From Article I.8.5

This provision in the U.S. Constitution gave Congress the Right to produce a national coin, set the weight, fineness, and value. Also, Congress could specify the value of a foreign coin in terms of the national coin of the United States.

" No state shall ...coin money; emit bills of credit; or make anything but gold and silver coin a tender in payment of debts." From Article I.10.1

It is clear from this provision that the State's could not create their own coin nor could they make anything but the gold and silver coins issued by Congress as legal tender for the payments of debt. This is a Constitutionally mandated gold standard.

No further paper money was issued by the U. S. Government for over eighty years. The Founders did allow, however, private banks to act as depositories for the United States and to collect taxes. People were issued redeemable bank notes which circulated as currency. Alexander Hamilton was initially responsible for the "National Banking System". Unfortunately, he realized his error in promoting this type of banking too late, and by the end of the Civil War there were thousands of banks issuing thousands of different kinds of bank notes.

In 1862, during the "War for Southern Independence", Lincoln radically debased the currency by having millions of "greenbacks" printed so he could pay for the "trappings of combat" needed for his "sacking of the South". (see death penalty above)

In 1872, Supreme Court Justice Stephen Field, aware of the rages of inflation, attempted to block an unconstitutional overextension of powers by the Bank of the United States. He wrote:

“The arguments in favor of the constitutionality of legal tender paper currency tend directly to break down the barriers which separate a government of limited powers from a government resting in the unrestrained will of Congress. Those limitations must be preserved, or our government will inevitably drift from the system established by our Fathers into a vast, centralized, and consolidated government.”

Drift, it did, and is now moored on the precipice of the economic abyss.

In 1878, in a rare state of clarity, Congress began to redeem "greenbacks" into gold which put the United States back on the gold standard until 1933.

It was well known amongst intelligent politicians, (who have, apparently, remained in the minority), that the gold standard protected citizens against the controlling tendencies of the government by offering an absolute hedge against the depreciation or devaluation of the currency. Gold provided an agent of maintenance and liquidity within and beyond national borders. Above all, it raised a mighty barrier against authoritarian interferences through the manipulation of the economic markets. Within the constraints imposed by the gold standard, America's economy remained relatively healthy until 1913.

On December 23, 1913, the U.S. Congress passed the Federal Reserve Act, placing control of this nation's money into the hands of a private corporation. This corporation was made up entirely of bankers. Calling itself the Federal Reserve, so as to seem official, it replaced the national bank system. Treasury notes were recalled and Federal Reserve notes were issued with a promise to redeem them in gold on demand. The forces behind the Federal Reserve, (American and Western European banking interests), remained tethered by the limits imposed by the gold standard, but this would soon change.

In 1920, the 66th Congress passed the Independent Treasury Act.

In 1921, the United States Congress abolished the U.S. Treasury, and, as a result, all of our country's bullion and all other instruments of value, ( i.e...moneys in trust funds and other special funds that had been kept in U.S. Treasury offices and vaults), were systematically transferred to the coffers of a private corporation!

From 1913, until 1933, under the authority of the U.S. Congress, the Federal Reserve held control of all of our country's gold. They then proceeded to loan us back our gold, at interest. We paid interest for the use of our own gold! What's wrong with this picture? What could have incited our Senators and Representatives to allow that to happen? In order to keep up with the ever rising debt service, we borrowed more of our own gold. We kept borrowing more and more of our own gold to pay more and more interest, until all the gold was gone. At that point, the country went bankrupt. Guess what happened next.

The bankers foreclosed on America. I know what you're thinking. Me too.

On March 9, 1933, the U.S. declared bankruptcy, as expressed in President Franklin Delano Roosevelt's Executive Orders 6073, 6102, 6111, and 6260.

On April 5th, 1933, one month after his inauguration, President Roosevelt declared a National Emergency that made it unlawful for any citizen of the United States to own gold, (see death penalty above), and "unconstitutionally" ordered all gold coins, gold bullion, and gold certificates to be turned into the Federal Reserve banks by May 1st under the threat of imprisonment and fines. This was technically, a national confiscation of gold and silver. This unlawful precedent set by Roosevelt would eventually lead us to the catastrophic situation we find ourselves in today.

Our bankrupt nation went into receivership and was reorganized in favor of it's creditor and new owners, a private corporation of international bankers. (Since 1933, what is called the "United States Government" has been a privately owned corporation, and the property of the Federal Reserve / International Monetary Fund.)

Without a word of truth to the American people, all our good faith and credit was pledged as the surety for the debt by the same slime ball Congressmen who created the mechanism that allowed it to occur.

Those Congressmen, knew such "De Facto Transitions" were unlawful and unauthorized, but were mysteriously coerced into sanctioning, implementing, and enforcing the complete debauchment of our monetary system, and the resulting changes in all aspects of government, society, and industry in the United States of America.

From the onset of the Federal Reserve, fractional reserve bankers set out to win the war of misinformation. They did this, in part, by attempting to advance the pseudo tenets of Keynesianism, monetarism, and supply-side economics.

John Maynard Keynes, although a great friend of the bankers, was probably the most heinous influence on freedom, liberty, and the free market in the 20th century. He was a Fabian socialist and a Globalist, (is that redundant?), who provided an intellectual cover for inflationism. He is best known for authoring bogus economic theories, undermining Western values and philosophy, and providing a floor plan whereby the banksters could more easily deceive the people. It was Keynes who coined the phrase, “barbarous relic” in reference to gold. It was Keynes who desecrated the U.S. Constitution with almost every breath.

"Lenin was certainly right. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose."

During the first half of the 20th century, each of four world leaders did the exact same thing within ninety days of their ascension to power. Each made it illegal for the citizens of their respective countries to own gold. Those leaders were: Mao, Stalin, Hitler, and Franklin D. Roosevelt. All four were acutely aware of the restrictions that a gold standard imposed on their abilities to wage war.

The bankers hate gold as money for the same reason. Gold as money acts as a barrier to the expansion of credit money. By pandering the lure of unlimited credit, the banksters went about recruiting politicians through out the world. The opportunity to wage war on borrowed money turned out to be irresistible to Empire. Wars have always been very important to the banking cartels. They are very expensive. Time and time again, through loans to governments, the cartels have provided the funding for great conflicts. Imagine, being able to go to war with unlimited funds. Better yet, imagine the inability to go to war because of the lack of unlimited funds. The temptation extended to the power mongers was too great. The credit was made available with a single catch. The gist of the pitch went something like this:

"Sure we'll loan you all the money you want, on the condition that you enact laws making all the citizens of your individual countries responsible for the interest payments, through taxation"

One by one the leaders of every government on earth sold out, and agreed to demonetize gold, thereby allowing the continued power grab of the banking cartels through the issuance debt based currency. The result has been the methodical fleecing of the general population through the debasing of the dollar by 97%. (see death penalty above)

On May 22nd, 1933, Congress enacted a law, against Constitutional mandate, declaring all coin and currencies then in circulation to be legal tender, dollar for dollar, as if they were gold. The President was unconstitutionally empowered to reduce the gold content to the dollar up to 50 percent. (see death penalty above)

On June 5th, 1933, Congress stabbed the gold standard out of existence by enacting a joint resolution (48 Stat. 112), that all gold clauses in contracts were outlawed and no one could legally demand gold in payment for any obligation due to him. (see death penalty above)

On January 30th, 1934, the Gold Reserve Act was passed, giving the Federal Reserve title to all the gold which had been collected. This act also changed the value/price of gold from $20.67 per ounce to $35 per ounce, which meant that all of the silver certificates the people had recently received for their gold now were worth 40 percent less. (see death penalty above)

On January 31st, 1934, after President Roosevelt fixed the dollar at 15 and 5/21 grains standard to gold. Russia and the central banks of Europe were very excited and began buying up gold in huge quantities. This planned redistribution of our country's wealth was one of the most important objectives of the Globalist's agenda. Thus a dual monetary system began which offered the gold standard for foreigners and Federal Reserve notes for Americans. (see death penalty above)

Between 1934 to 1963 all Federal Reserve notes issued had a promised to pay, or to be redeemed in "lawful money." Over a short period of time the wording on the Federal Reserve notes began to change until there was no redemption in silver promised. This was done slowly enough that the people didn't see it coming. (see death penalty above)

On November 2nd, 1963, new Federal Reserve notes with no promise to pay in "lawful money" was released. No guarantees, no value. (see death penalty above)

In 1965 silver in coins were reduced to 40 percent by President Lyndon Johnson's authorization. (see death penalty above)

President Lyndon Johnson issued a proclamation on June 24, 1968, that all Federal Reserve Silver Certificates were merely fiat legal tender and could not be redeemed in silver. (see death penalty above)

On December 31, 1970, President Richard Nixon signed into law an amendment to the Bank Holding Company Act, which, among other things, authorized the treasury to totally debase coins to a worthless value in non precious metal. (see death penalty above)

"Single acts of tyranny may be ascribed to the accidental opinion of a day. But a series of oppressions, begun at a distinguished period, and pursued unalterably through every change of ministers, too plainly proves a deliberate systematic plan of reducing us to slavery." - Thomas Jefferson

Since the seventies, the unfettered issuance of debt money has continued to debase our currency more rapidly than ever before. In the last three years, the debasement has accelerated exponentially.

"The abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists (government bureaucrats) to use the banking system as an unlimited expansion of credit. In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation... Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the "hidden" confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process." - Alan Greenspan

The world governments continue to babble that tired Keynesian rhetoric insisting that gold and silver have become obsolete, relics of the past. Yet in the 4th Quarter of 2006 global gold and silver demand was the highest on record, and, some of the world's largest investors are presently taking major positions in precious metals.

The cartel wants economic growth, lots of borrowers, and lots of opportunities to lend newly created funny money at interest. You can't blame them for wanting that. If I could print up all the funny money I wanted and could then lend it out at interest, I'd be happy too. That is, I would be happy to lend it if I didn't have a soul. The ravages of inflation have heretofore been thoroughly exposed and the results are blatantly apparent in our inability to successfully engineer our lives without debt. Fractional reserve banking has provided for the theft of the life blood of our nation.

Compounding the problem is the fact that the world is no longer capable of sustaining economic expansion. We are beginning to witness emerging nations, like China and India sucking up natural resources at a rate that is way past rechargeable. We are entering a period of civilization where the keyword is sustainability, not growth.

The debasement of our currency continues with abandon.The purchasing power of the dollar is quickly eroding. It is down 30% in the last three years. Conversely, the value of gold is up 30% in the last three years. Because the dollar is the reserve currency of world, every commodity, from rice to timber, from oil to precious metals, will continue to rise, priced in dollars.

The U.S.A. is currently breaking all records for the longest period of time that a nation's economy has endured after abandoning the gold standard. Our country has been foreclosed on in the past, and its just about to be foreclosed on again. It's just a matter of time. The "endgame" is near.

" I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies . . . If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around [the banks] . . . will deprive the people of all property until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered . . . The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs." -- Thomas Jefferson -- The Debate Over The Re Charter Of The Bank Bill, (1809)

The last thing that the powers that are engineering the devaluation of the dollar want to happen is for the world to wake up to the fact that precious metals represent un-inflatable money. Both gold and silver are rising in price. This rise is currently fueled mostly by the dollar's demise. When the resulting "demand panic" kicks in, and it will very soon, the value of precious metals will "go ballistic." Oil is already being affected by "demand panic." It's price is rising in all currencies, not just the dollar.

It is my view, (and one that is shared by a great many others), that the failure of our current monetary system is eminent. The purpose of this examination has been to "wake you up", and make you aware of the facts that support my take on things. Hopefully it has increased your respect for the intrinsic value of precious metals. From an economic standpoint, gold and silver will lend heartily to our salvation. Gold and silver will soon regain their positions as the anchors of an honest monetary system. The market will demand it, and the "powers that be" will have no choice but to let the market have its way.

The presence of gold and silver in your portfolio will insure that you will emerge from the abyss with your capital intact. There is still time for you to reallocate a portion of your equity into the commodity sector, including gold and silver bullion, and gold and silver mining stocks. This move could well provide you with an unequaled measure of security. The gold standard is part of our Constitutional legacy. The subjugation of the Constitution is the root of all economic evils. If enough of us get together on this, we might be able to "Right the Republic". Very soon, as early as next year, a lot of people will be glad they held gold and silver.

Its not what you don't know that will screw you up, it's what you know that is wrong. The spin you hear from the mainstream media is intended to mislead you. Open your eyes and face the future. If you leave your head in the sand and ignore it, you are only leaving your butt exposed for the world to kick. This all may sound like gloom and doom, but when you get a handle on what is going to happen, you will have a future filled with opportunity. Fortune favors the Informed.

Kenneth Parsons, aka Johnny Silver Bear, is an IT professional in Texas and the President of Silver Bear Communications, Inc. Mr. Parsons has been involved in the advertising and promotion industry for over twenty-five years. He is the editor of the Silver Bear Cafe and, as such, is responsible for shaping the content of "The Bear". Mr. Parsons has served as CEO for Fiberscape Communications, Inc., a web site development / hosting and streaming multi-media company in Richardson, Texas since 1997. He is a Jeffersonian and a passionate supporter of the U.S. Constitution. He is also an outspoken advocate of gold money and equal tax rates. You can contact Mr. Parsons with questions or comments via email at johnny@silverbearcafe.com

German Central Bank Admits that Credit is Created Out of Thin Air

The article below is a good read when you have some time – short and to the point. Many people believe high inflation is on the way – and I agree. You may be wondering – with all of the Federal Reserve actions flooding the system with dollars – why isn’t inflation taking off now? To understand what is happening – you need an understanding of the difference between our monetary base and our money supply. Our monetary base consists of all commercial bank reserves held at the Fed. Commercial banks are required to hold a fraction of their ‘reserves’ at the Fed (fractional reserve banking) – in order to make loans. Once a bank loans money into our economy (mortgages, auto loans, etc.) – money is then added to our money supply (money in circulation in the system). In our system – money = debt.

Where is the majority of the Fed’s money going? Are the Fed’s actions helping the economy?

Here’s one piece of the answer (taken from the Federal Reserve’s website):



Our monetary base is rising dramatically (now over $1.2 trillion). Why? Banks aren’t lending at required levels due to a number of factors. Commercial/Residential real estate prices continue to decline, unemployment is high, home foreclosures continue to rise, the Fed is now paying interest on deposits (interesting timing), we’re beginning to understand that borrowing money forever is a bad idea, etc. etc. In a nutshell – our monetary system has reached a debt saturation point. Banks are getting hammered (loan defaults) and don’t want to lend (to protect themselves) – couple this with the fact that consumers don’t want to borrow because they’re already in trouble – and you’ve got a perfect storm. This creates a serious problem in a debt based monetary system – since our monetary system requires exponential debt growth to create the money required to pay back interest (since we never create the money required in this system to pay interest). If debt growth declines – money supply declines – leading to a downward spiral of increasing defaults, foreclosures, bankruptcies, etc.

Since debt creation is falling dramatically – our money supply is now contracting (again - money = debt in this system). This is the dirty little secret that the mainstream media talking heads never mention.


M3 (total U.S. money supply) money supply is now contracting – and the trend is not good.

The system is failing. There can be no economic recovery in this system if our money supply continues to contract.

This is becoming clear in a number of economic indicators.

Probably the clearest indication that our debt based system is failing can be seen in the following graphs. Karl Denninger (someone I believe has a firm grasp of the situation) posted the following in December 2008:


The graph above shows us the impact on nominal GDP (economic growth) resulting from a $1.00 increase in U.S. debt (money). You’ll notice that we’ll be at ‘zero hour’ when $1.00 of new debt has no positive impact on economic growth.

So – fast forward to today. Where are we?

From Nathan’s Economic Edge – www.economicedge.blogspot.com (someone else I trust):
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Saturday, March 20, 2010


THE Most Important Chart of the CENTURY


The latest U.S. Treasury Z1 Flow of Funds report was released on March 11, 2010, bringing the data current through the end of 2009. What follows is the most important chart of your lifetime. It relegates almost all modern economists and economic theory to the dustbin of history. Any economic theory, formula, or relationship that does not consider this non-linear relationship of DEBT and phase transition is destined to fail.


It explains the "jobless" recoveries of the past and how each recent economic cycle produces higher money figures, yet lower employment. It explains why we are seeing debt driven events that circle the globe. It explains the psychological uneasiness that underpins this point in history, the elephant in the room that nobody sees or can describe.



This is a very simple chart. It takes the change in GDP and divides it by the change in Debt. What it shows is how much productivity is gained by infusing $1 of debt into our debt backed money system.


Back in the early 1960s a dollar of new debt added almost a dollar to the nation’s output of goods and services. As more debt enters the system the productivity gained by new debt diminishes. This produced a path that was following a diminishing line targeting ZERO in the year 2015. This meant that we could expect that each new dollar of debt added in the year 2015 would add NOTHING to our productivity.


Then a funny thing happened along the way. Macroeconomic DEBT SATURATION occurred causing a phase transition with our debt relationship. This is because total income can no longer support total debt. In the third quarter of 2009 each dollar of debt added produced NEGATIVE 15 cents of productivity, and at the end of 2009, each dollar of new debt now SUBTRACTS 45 cents from GDP!


This is mathematical PROOF that debt saturation has occurred. Continuing to add debt into a saturated system, where all money is debt, leads only to future defaults and to higher unemployment.

______________________

So – we’re now at ‘zero hour’ – when every $!.00 of new debt/money added to our system now subtracts from economic growth/productivity – and this is a worldwide phenomenon – not just the U.S.

How much longer can the world’s economy continue without a serious economic ‘event’ – stock market crashes, sovereign debt defaults, currency values plunging, etc.? I’m not sure – but I would bet that since we’re nearing the end of many of the government/Central Bank ‘stimulus’ actions – the time draws near.

At some point in the near future – the world’s economy will begin a rapid decline – most likely preceded by a stock market crash or a nation defaulting on its debt (see Greece) – or a combination of both. Once this happens, I’m sure many political and financial leaders will point the blame at everyone and everything – except the truth.

jg - March 22, 2010
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German Central Bank Admits that Credit is Created Out of Thin Air

Submitted by George Washington on 03/19/2010 16:17 -0500

www.zerohedge.com

Preface: Most people think that banks lend solely from their base of deposits.

Some also know that with fractional reserve banking, they can loan out many times more than they actually have in reserves.

But very few people – with the exception of those in the banking industry and financial experts – know where credit really comes from. Many ZH readers are in the banking industry or financial experts, so this may seem obvious.

Germany’s central bank – the Deutsche Bundesbank (German for German Federal Bank) – has admitted in writing that banks create credit out of thin air.

As the Bundesbank states in a publication entitled “Money and Monetary Policy” (pages 88-93; translation provided by Google translate, but German speaker Festan von Geldern confirmed the basic translation):

4.4 Creation of the banks money

Money is created by "money creation". Both [central banks] and private commercial banks can create money. In the euro monetary system [money creation] arises mainly through the granting of loans, as well as the fact that central banks or commercial banks to buy assets such as gold, foreign currencies, real estate or securities. If the central bank granted a loan from a commercial bank and crediting the amount in the account of the bank at the central bank, created “central bank money.”

***
Money creation by commercial banks

The commercial banks can create money itself, the so-called bank money. The money creation process through which commercial banks can be explained by the related postings: If a commercial bank to a customer a loan, they booked in its balance sheet as an asset against a loan receivable the client – for example, 100,000. At the same time, the bank writes down the customer’s checking account, which is run on the liabilities of the bank’s balance sheet, 100,000 euros good. This credit increases the deposits of customers on its current account – it creates deposit money, which increases the money supply.

In other words, money is created as book-entry by purchasing assets or entering credits on the left side of the balance-sheet and corresponding deposits on the right side. In other words, credit is created out of thin air.

Frontiers of money creation

The above description might leave the impression that the commercial banks are able to draw an infinite amount of money in bank accounts. If this were really so, this could be inflationary. The central bank therefore takes effect on the extent of lending and money creation. It requires commercial banks to hold the reserve.

As I’ve previously pointed out, the Federal Reserve is taking the same tack, creating conditions that guarantee that American banks will have huge excess reserves so as to prevent inflation. Back to the publication:

Central banks, commercial banks can typically obtain only by the fact that the central bank granted them credit. For these loans, commercial banks have to pay the central bank interest rate. Increase this rate, the central bank, the “prime rate”, the commercial banks usually raise their part, the rates at which they lend themselves. There will be a general rise in interest rates. This, however, dampens the tendency of businesses and households, the demand for loans. By raising or lowering the key interest rate the central bank can thus influence the business sector demand for credit – and thus on Lending and bank money creation.

The commercial banks need central bank money to cover not only for the reserve, but also to the cash needs of its customers. Each bank customer may be credit in the bank account into cash to pay off. If the stocks of the banks in cash to be in short supply, the central bank can create only remedy. Because only they are permitted to bring additional notes in circulation. To meet the cash needs of its clients, the commercial bank must therefore include, where appropriate, with the central bank for a loan. This leads to the creation of central bank money. The so-purchased assets for central bank money can pay off the commercial bank in cash let. Thus, the cash is in circulation: from the central bank to commercial banks and from these to the bank customers.

Central Bank money is also to cover the non-cash payments are required: a customer transfers money from its credit to a customer at another bank, this results in many cases led to the sending bank central bank needs to transfer money to the receiving bank. The central banks then moves from one bank to another.

***
The commercial banks can use the surplus of central bank money and to award additional credits to businesses and households. As previously described, arises from the award of additional credits additional demand for central bank money – which can be covered in this special situation of great uncertainty among banks by the existing excess liquidity. The abundant supply of liquidity relief, a bank that wants to provide a loan, from the traditional consideration of how much money they need after the award of credit is, how it is constituted, and at what cost. Using the so-called money creation multiplier can be estimated how large the potential for additional Credit limit is.

Do you get it now?

Private banks don't make loans because they have extra deposits lying around. The process is the exact opposite:

(1) Each private bank "creates" loans out of thin air by entering into binding loan commitments with borrowers (of course, corresponding liabilities are created on their books at the same time. But see below); then

(2) If the bank doesn't have the required level of reserves, it simply borrows them after the fact from the central bank (or from another bank);

(3) The central bank, in turn, creates the money which it lends to the private banks out of thin air.

It's not just Bernanke ... the central banks and their owners - the private commercial banks - have been running the printing presses for hundreds of years.

Of course, as I pointed out Tuesday, Bernanke is pushing to eliminate all reserve requirements in the U.S. If Bernanke has his way, American banks won't even have to borrow from the Fed or other banks after the fact to have reserves. Instead, they can just enter into as many loans as they want and create endless money out of thin air (within Basel I and Basel II's capital requirements - but since governments are backstopping their giant banks by overtly and covertly throwing bailout money, guarantees and various insider opportunities at them, capital requirements are somewhat meaningless).

The system is no longer based on assets (and remember that the giant banks have repeatedly become insolvent) It is based on creating new debts, and then backfilling from there.

It is - in fact - a monopoly system. Specifically, only private banks and their wholly-owned central banks can run printing presses. Governments and people do not have access to the printing presses (with some limited exceptions, like North Dakota), and thus have to pay the monopolists to run them (in the form of interest on the loans).

At the very least, the system must be changed so that it is not - by definition - perched atop a mountain of debt, and the monetary base must be maintained by an authority that is accountable to the people.

Note: When I receive a better translation I will post it.

US money supply plunges at 1930s pace as Obama eyes fresh stimulus

Our money supply will continue to plunge. With private banks reducing lending at historic rates - there’s no way our government can replace the amount of new debt required to keep the system from failing.

The difference between the great depression and now – is that we have now passed the debt saturation point – which makes our situation today much worse than the 1930s.

jg – May 31, 2010
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US money supply plunges at 1930s pace as Obama eyes fresh stimulus

The M3 money supply in the United States is contracting at an accelerating rate that now matches the average decline seen from 1929 to 1933, despite near zero interest rates and the biggest fiscal blitz in history.

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Published: 9:40PM BST 26 May 2010

The stock of money in the US fell from $14.2 trillion to $13.9 trillion in the three months to April, amounting to an annual rate of contraction of 9.6pc Photo: AFP

The M3 figures - which include broad range of bank accounts and are tracked by British and European monetarists for warning signals about the direction of the US economy a year or so in advance - began shrinking last summer. The pace has since quickened.

The stock of money fell from $14.2 trillion to $13.9 trillion in the three months to April, amounting to an annual rate of contraction of 9.6pc. The assets of insitutional money market funds fell at a 37pc rate, the sharpest drop ever.

"It’s frightening," said Professor Tim Congdon from International Monetary Research. "The plunge in M3 has no precedent since the Great Depression. The dominant reason for this is that regulators across the world are pressing banks to raise capital asset ratios and to shrink their risk assets. This is why the US is not recovering properly," he said.

The US authorities have an entirely different explanation for the failure of stimulus measures to gain full traction. They are opting instead for yet further doses of Keynesian spending, despite warnings from the IMF that the gross public debt of the US will reach 97pc of GDP next year and 110pc by 2015.

Larry Summers, President Barack Obama’s top economic adviser, has asked Congress to "grit its teeth" and approve a fresh fiscal boost of $200bn to keep growth on track. "We are nearly 8m jobs short of normal employment. For millions of Americans the economic emergency grinds on," he said.

David Rosenberg from Gluskin Sheff said the White House appears to have reversed course just weeks after Mr. Obama vowed to rein in a budget deficit of $1.5 trillion (9.4pc of GDP) this year and set up a commission to target cuts. "You truly cannot make this stuff up. The US government is freaked out about the prospect of a double-dip," he said.

The White House request is a tacit admission that the economy is already losing thrust and may stall later this year as stimulus from the original $800bn package starts to fade.

Recent data have been mixed. Durable goods orders jumped 2.9pc in April but house prices have been falling for several months and mortgage applications have dropped to a 13-year low. The ECRI leading index of US economic activity has been sliding continuously since its peak in October, suffering the steepest one-week drop ever recorded in mid-May.

Mr Summers acknowledged in a speech this week that the eurozone crisis had shone a spotlight on the dangers of spiralling public debt. He said deficit spending delays the day of reckoning and leaves the US at the mercy of foreign creditors. Ultimately, "failure begets failure" in fiscal policy as the logic of compound interest does its worst.

However, Mr Summers said it would be "pennywise and pound foolish" to skimp just as the kindling wood of recovery starts to catch fire. He said fiscal policy comes into its own at a time when the economy "faces a liquidity trap" and the Fed is constrained by zero interest rates.

Mr Congdon said the Obama policy risks repeating the strategic errors of Japan, which pushed debt to dangerously high levels with one fiscal boost after another during its Lost Decade, instead of resorting to full-blown "Friedmanite" monetary stimulus.

"Fiscal policy does not work. The US has just tried the biggest fiscal experiment in history and it has failed. What matters is the quantity of money and in extremis that can be increased easily by quantitative easing. If the Fed doesn’t act, a double-dip recession is a virtual certainty," he said.

Mr Congdon said the dominant voices in US policy-making - Nobel laureates Paul Krugman and Joe Stiglitz, as well as Mr Summers and Fed chair Ben Bernanke - are all Keynesians of different stripes who "despise traditional monetary theory and have a religious aversion to any mention of the quantity of money". The great opus by Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz - The Monetary History of the United States - has been left to gather dust.

Mr Bernanke no longer pays attention to the M3 data. The bank stopped publishing the data five years ago, deeming it too erratic to be of much use.

This may have been a serious error since double-digit growth of M3 during the US housing bubble gave clear warnings that the boom was out of control. The sudden slowdown in M3 in early to mid-2008 - just as the Fed talked of raising rates - gave a second warning that the economy was about to go into a nosedive.

Mr Bernanke built his academic reputation on the study of the credit mechanism. This model offers a radically different theory for how the financial system works. While so-called "creditism" has become the new orthodoxy in US central banking, it has not yet been tested over time and may yet prove to be a misadventure.

Paul Ashworth at Capital Economics said the decline in M3 is worrying and points to a growing risk of deflation. "Core inflation is already the lowest since 1966, so we don’t have much margin for error here. Deflation becomes a threat if it goes on long enough to become entrenched," he said.

However, Mr Ashworth warned against a mechanical interpretation of money supply figures. "You could argue that M3 has been going down because people have been taking their money out of accounts to buy stocks, property and other assets," he said.

Events may soon tell us whether this is benign or malign. It is certainly remarkable.

** While the Fed does not publish M3, it still publishes the underlying components. The indicator is reconstructed accurately for clients by Dr John Williams.

John Williams (Shadowstats) Exposes Media Propaganda - July 14 2010

Here we see how mainstream media manipulates the masses. Let’s give people false hope while we lie, cheat and steal from them. Standard Operating Procedure by our enemy.

jg – July 14, 2010
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Shadowstats' John Williams Exposes The Media's Propaganda Spin, Or Why Watching CNBC Can Be Hazardous To Your Wealth

http://www.zerohedge.com/

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/shadowstats-john-williams-exposes-medias-propaganda-spin-watching-cnbc-can-be-hazardous-your

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/14/2010 12:58 -0500

In his latest letter to subscribers, Shadowstats' John Williams dissects recent economic data, and after providing yet more evidence that after the recent period of "bottom-bouncing at a low-level plateau of business activity" the economy has once again entered a double dip. Overall, it has cost the US taxpayers several trillion in debt (which will never be repaid), and a major hit to the value of the paper in their wallets, just to play the game of extend and pretend for just under 18 months. The positive effects of the sugar high are now gone, leaving just the negative, one of which is the propaganda spin engulfing the entire legacy media complex whose survival depends on the ongoing perpetuation of the Ponzi lie that all is well. And courtesy of Mr. Williams we have prima facie evidence of precisely why formerly reputable channels such as CNBC are in the process destroying their credibility and causing an exodus of viewers, with the few remaining viewers remaining primarily for the opportunity to heckle the openly lying talking heads. To wit from Shadowstats: "Let me recount two personal experiences. Back in late-1989, I contended that the U.S. economy was in or headed into a deep recession. CNBC had me in to discuss my views along with a senior economist for a large New York bank, who was looking for continued economic growth. Before the show, the bank economist and I shared our views in the Green Room. I outlined my case for a major recession, and, to my shock, his response was, "I think that pretty much is the consensus." We got on the air, I gave my recession pitch, and he proclaimed a booming economy for the year ahead. He was a good economist and knew what was happening, but he had to put out the story mandated by his employer, or he would not have had a job. More recently, following an interview on a major cable news network (not CNBC), I was advised off-air by the producer that they were operating under a corporate mandate to give the economic news a positive spin, irrespective of how bad it was." And now you know that watching stations like CNBC for anything more than just comedic value is hazardous to your health and wealth.

John Williams criticism is even harsher:

Further complicating the outlook is a more traditional issue: pronouncements by some economists on Wall Street and financial reporters in the popular media, who act as shills for the needs of Wall Street and political Washington. While there are a number of fine and honest economists and financial reporters in their respective fields, there also are those — often very heavily publicized — who spew Pollyannaish nonsense aimed at affecting public sentiment and/or the financial markets during troubled economic times.

I know from other personal experiences that these circumstances are commonplace. A simple example of recent distortion was yesterday’s positive hype over an unexpectedly-low weekly jobless claims number. Widely known — at least I have discussed the matter frequently — is that the Department of Labor cannot adjust the weekly claims numbers meaningfully for regular seasonal variations. Accordingly, reporting around holidays invariably results in unusually large and unexpected swings in the weekly numbers. Yesterday’s data covered the onset of the Fourth of July weekend. It would not be at all unusual to see a similarly-meaningless reverse-gyration in next week’s release.

At least we can now drop any pretense that America and the Evil Empire of the 1980's are in any way different - central planning: check; complete media subjugation: check; power to the (unionized) workers: check; "free" healthcare for all - check; the only difference is that the hegemonic kleptocrats in the US, i.e., the banking elite, are sophisticated enough to keep the plebs distracted and while enjoying their last years of power in a collapsing regime, are rapidly transferring whatever remaining pockets of wealth in US (and global) society are left to their own private safes in undisclosed locations. We know how things ended for the once great USSR - it should provide a great roadmap for what is coming to the US.

And while we are on the topic of John Williams, who remains the only accurate tracker of M3 now that the Fed deems this monetary aggregate irrelevant, here is his latest commentary on the inflation-adjusted M3. It's ugly:

Plotted below is the year-to-year change in real (inflation-adjusted) M3 (updated for the Fed’s revisions) versus U.S. recessions, as recognized by the National Bureau of Economic Research. Whenever annual real change in M3 has turned negative, the economy always has fallen into recession, or if already in recession, the economy has entered a period of intensified downturn, usually within six to nine months of the initial M3 downturn. The signal for economic trouble ahead is the annual real M3 growth first turning negative, as happened in December 2009.

The American Middle Class is Radically Shrinking - July 24 2010

You’ve heard me say it many times – and I’ll say it again here - the demise of the American middle class is not the result of random events – nor have we just been unlucky. The people behind the New World Order have planned our demise very deceptively. We stand in the way of world government – and we are being assaulted as a result.

International bankers have slowly – over the past 100 years - reduced the purchasing power of our money through their debt based monetary system. Inflation is the hidden tax stealing from every American. If you think our taxes are bad (income taxes, sales taxes, estate taxes, excise taxes, fuel taxes, many more coming in 2011, etc.) – take the time to learn what has been stolen from us through inflation since 1913. We have been conditioned to believe that inflation is a necessary evil - is it really? Should we always have an annual inflation rate of 2% to 15% - or do we believe this is the only way simply because this is what we are told?

Many people seem to believe that inflation is simply a rise in prices. Prices go up (for some mysterious reason) – and we have inflation – year after year. We hear many people tell us that certain things influence inflation – contribute to inflation – ‘mute’ inflation – etc. What is the real cause of price inflation? The truth is that inflation always has been – and will always be – a monetary phenomenon.

Let’s use a very simple example to illustrate inflation. I have seen many people who understand inflation (and are not trying to deceive anyone) – typically use some form of this example. Let’s say that you live on an island where the only product is coconuts. There are 10 coconuts on this island – and let’s assume that the rate of coconut consumption equals the rate of coconut growth – meaning that a new coconut is grown every time one is consumed – so that there are always 10 coconuts on the island. Let’s also say that there is $10 in currency on the island. In this scenario – how much is a coconut worth? Not exactly rocket science – a coconut would be worth $1 ($10/10 coconuts = $1 per coconut). Now – let’s say that another $10 in currency is added to the island’s money supply. There are still only 10 coconuts on the island – but there is now $20 in currency. How much is a coconut worth? Again, pretty simple math – a coconut is now worth $2. What caused the price of coconuts to double? Is this mysterious? Do we need an army of economists to figure this out? No. Prices doubled because the money supply doubled without a corresponding rise in the amount of goods/services on the island.

What happens if we add another 10 coconuts to the island? With $20 in currency and 20 coconuts – what is the price of a coconut? We’re back to $1 per coconut. Our economy grew – but our money supply also grew in line with the growth of our economy – so there was no price inflation.

What happens if you grow your economy, but don’t grow your money supply? Let’s say you added 10 coconuts to the island without growing your money supply. You now have $10 in currency with 20 coconuts. What is the price of each coconut? The price per coconut would be $.50 ($10/20 coconuts = $.50 per coconut). If the amount of goods/services within your economy grows without a corresponding growth in money supply – you experience price deflation. With all of the smoke and mirrors stripped away – we’re beginning to see the truth.

Why have we experienced price inflation for one hundred years? Inflation is a constant for us because our current monetary system requires our money supply to continue to grow forever – regardless of the amount of goods/services within our economy. Because our money is created by debt, we must continually create more debt to create more money to pay back what we owe – a system that forever places us in debt – and a system that guarantees inflation.

Now you know why a Coke no longer costs a nickel. Our money supply has been growing at a higher rate than the amount of goods and services we’ve added to our economy – for one hundred years. If we had financial/political leaders who truly cared about us and our economy – we would have a monetary system where we could constantly adjust our money supply to equal the goods/services in our economy – and a coke would still cost somewhere close to a nickel – and you could still live on a 1950’s salary/wage. As it is – inflation has eroded the purchasing power of our money (95% since 1913) – while middle class incomes are now declining. This is why the American middle class is shrinking (see article below).

Bernanke, Greenspan and others talk about inflation as if it is some kind of mysterious monkey wrench that is periodically thrown into their monetary/economic machine. What is the truth? They know (this is not high level economic theory) that our monetary system is causing inflation – but they would prefer that you were kept in the dark. What happens when our economy continues to decline – but our money supply continues to be propped up by the Fed (via the never-ending printing press)? At some point we experience hyper-inflation and the destruction of the dollar. Add in our ridiculous budget deficits – and the demise of the dollar is guaranteed.

If this all sounds like ‘The Matrix’ to you – it’s because you have been born into a system that was designed to control you from birth. A system that teaches you lies about your money, your government and who is in control – a system that hides the truth from you. This is a system that was designed to place you in financial bondage – and do it in a way so that you won’t even know it. It’s time we unplugged from the world – and started searching for the truth.

If you’re interested in learning how our monetary system works:

http://endtimediscussions.wordpress.com/2006/09/16/our-monetary-system-part-i-how-central-banks-control-the-worlds-economy/

July 24, 2010
________________

The Middle Class in America Is Radically Shrinking. Here Are the Stats to Prove it

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/the-u.s.-middle-class-is-being-wiped-out-here%27s-the-stats-to-prove-it-520657.html 

http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/ 

Posted Jul 15, 2010 02:25pm EDT by Michael Snyder in Recession

From The Business Insider

Editor's note: Michael Snyder is editor of theeconomiccollapseblog.com

The 22 statistics detailed here prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that the middle class is being systematically wiped out of existence in America.

The rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer at a staggering rate. Once upon a time, the United States had the largest and most prosperous middle class in the history of the world, but now that is changing at a blinding pace.

So why are we witnessing such fundamental changes? Well, the globalism and "free trade" that our politicians and business leaders insisted would be so good for us have had some rather nasty side effects. It turns out that they didn't tell us that the "global economy" would mean that middle class American workers would eventually have to directly compete for jobs with people on the other side of the world where there is no minimum wage and very few regulations. The big global corporations have greatly benefited by exploiting third world labor pools over the last several decades, but middle class American workers have increasingly found things to be very tough.

Here are the statistics to prove it:

• 83 percent of all U.S. stocks are in the hands of 1 percent of the people.

• 61 percent of Americans "always or usually" live paycheck to paycheck, which was up from 49 percent in 2008 and 43 percent in 2007.

• 66 percent of the income growth between 2001 and 2007 went to the top 1% of all Americans.

• 36 percent of Americans say that they don't contribute anything to retirement savings.

• A staggering 43 percent of Americans have less than $10,000 saved up for retirement.

• 24 percent of American workers say that they have postponed their planned retirement age in the past year.

• Over 1.4 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009, which represented a 32 percent increase over 2008.

• Only the top 5 percent of U.S. households have earned enough additional income to match the rise in housing costs since 1975.

• For the first time in U.S. history, banks own a greater share of residential housing net worth in the United States than all individual Americans put together.

• In 1950, the ratio of the average executive's paycheck to the average worker's paycheck was about 30 to 1. Since the year 2000, that ratio has exploded to between 300 to 500 to one.

• As of 2007, the bottom 80 percent of American households held about 7% of the liquid financial assets.

• The bottom 50 percent of income earners in the United States now collectively own less than 1 percent of the nation’s wealth.

• Average Wall Street bonuses for 2009 were up 17 percent when compared with 2008.

• In the United States, the average federal worker now earns 60% MORE than the average worker in the private sector.

• The top 1 percent of U.S. households own nearly twice as much of America's corporate wealth as they did just 15 years ago.

• In America today, the average time needed to find a job has risen to a record 35.2 weeks.

• More than 40 percent of Americans who actually are employed are now working in service jobs, which are often very low paying.

• For the first time in U.S. history, more than 40 million Americans are on food stamps, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture projects that number will go up to 43 million Americans in 2011.

• This is what American workers now must compete against: in China a garment worker makes approximately 86 cents an hour and in Cambodia a garment worker makes approximately 22 cents an hour.

• Approximately 21 percent of all children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010 - the highest rate in 20 years.

• Despite the financial crisis, the number of millionaires in the United States rose a whopping 16 percent to 7.8 million in 2009.

• The top 10 percent of Americans now earn around 50 percent of our national income.

Giant Sucking Sound

The reality is that no matter how smart, how strong, how educated or how hard working American workers are, they just cannot compete with people who are desperate to put in 10 to 12 hour days at less than a dollar an hour on the other side of the world. After all, what corporation in their right mind is going to pay an American worker 10 times more (plus benefits) to do the same job? The world is fundamentally changing. Wealth and power are rapidly becoming concentrated at the top and the big global corporations are making massive amounts of money. Meanwhile, the American middle class is being systematically wiped out of existence as U.S. workers are slowly being merged into the new "global" labor pool.

What do most Americans have to offer in the marketplace other than their labor? Not much. The truth is that most Americans are absolutely dependent on someone else giving them a job. But today, U.S. workers are "less attractive" than ever. Compared to the rest of the world, American workers are extremely expensive, and the government keeps passing more rules and regulations seemingly on a monthly basis that makes it even more difficult to conduct business in the United States.

So corporations are moving operations out of the U.S. at breathtaking speed. Since the U.S. government does not penalize them for doing so, there really is no incentive for them to stay.

What has developed is a situation where the people at the top are doing quite well, while most Americans are finding it increasingly difficult to make it. There are now about six unemployed Americans for every new job opening in the United States, and the number of "chronically unemployed" is absolutely soaring. There simply are not nearly enough jobs for everyone.

Many of those who are able to get jobs are finding that they are making less money than they used to. In fact, an increasingly large percentage of Americans are working at low wage retail and service jobs.

But you can't raise a family on what you make flipping burgers at McDonald's or on what you bring in from greeting customers down at the local Wal-Mart.

The truth is that the middle class in America is dying -- and once it is gone it will be incredibly difficult to rebuild.